# Predicting the global potential distribution of Bursaphelenchus xylophilus using an ecological niche model: expansion trend and the main driving factors

*PRI Rank #6 · Topics and Trends in Most Cited Forest Insect Ecology and Management Papers, Class of 2026*

*Canonical URL: https://pri.pepkio.com/top-papers/forest-insect-ecology-and-management/2026/rank-6*

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Rank | #6 |
| 18m citations | 19 |
| Journal | BMC Ecology and Evolution |
| Year | 2024 |
| DOI | 10.1186/s12862-024-02234-1 |
| Corresponding authors | Qiqiang Guo |
| Institution | Guizhou University, China |

**Ranking page:** [Topics and Trends in Most Cited Forest Insect Ecology and Management Papers, Class of 2026](https://pri.pepkio.com/top-papers/forest-insect-ecology-and-management/2026)

**Paper link:** [10.1186/s12862-024-02234-1](https://doi.org/10.1186/s12862-024-02234-1)

## Topics

Bursaphelenchus xylophilus · MaxEnt · species distribution modeling · species distribution modeling · ArcGIS · Shared Socioeconomic Pathways · Shared Socioeconomic Pathways · precipitation of warmest quarter · temperature seasonality · Precipitation of wettest month · maximum temperature of warmest month · Future climate scenarios · pine forest pest · species distribution modeling · range expansion · quarantine pests · environmental variables · range shift · East Asia epidemic region

## Cite this ranking

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Pepkio Research Index (PRI). Topics and Trends in Most Cited Forest Insect Ecology and Management Papers, Class of 2026. https://pri.pepkio.com/top-papers/forest-insect-ecology-and-management/2026. Accessed 2026-07-31.

Zheng Su, Tinsley Li, Thematic Shifts in Early-High-Impact Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics Research: A Bibliometric and Semantic Analysis. bioRxiv 2026.07.04.736459; doi: https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.07.04.736459
```