# Emergence of lake conditions that exceed natural temperature variability

*PRI Rank #17 · Topics and Trends in Most Cited Aquatic Ecosystems and Phytoplankton Dynamics Papers, Class of 2026*

*Canonical URL: https://pri.pepkio.com/top-papers/aquatic-ecosystems-and-phytoplankton-dynamics/2026/rank-17*

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Rank | #17 |
| 18m citations | 31 |
| Journal | Nature Geoscience |
| Year | 2024 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41561-024-01491-5 |
| Corresponding authors | R. Iestyn Woolway |
| Institution | Institute for Basic Science, South Korea |

**Ranking page:** [Topics and Trends in Most Cited Aquatic Ecosystems and Phytoplankton Dynamics Papers, Class of 2026](https://pri.pepkio.com/top-papers/aquatic-ecosystems-and-phytoplankton-dynamics/2026)

**Paper link:** [10.1038/s41561-024-01491-5](https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01491-5)

## Topics

Lake Surface Water Temperature · no-analogue conditions · natural temperature variability · SSP3-7.0 · Earth system model projections · thermally sensitive aquatic species · northern lakes · low latitude lakes · subsurface water temperature · water column thermal structure · freshwater habitat rearrangements · upper natural limit exceedance · climate-driven ecosystem shifts · temperature emergence timing · latitudinal gradient in thermal variability · 4.0°C warming threshold · 2.4°C warming threshold · large ensemble projections · Pre-industrial baseline

## Cite this ranking

```
Pepkio Research Index (PRI). Topics and Trends in Most Cited Aquatic Ecosystems and Phytoplankton Dynamics Papers, Class of 2026. https://pri.pepkio.com/top-papers/aquatic-ecosystems-and-phytoplankton-dynamics/2026. Accessed 2026-07-23.

Zheng Su, Tinsley Li, Thematic Shifts in Early-High-Impact Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics Research: A Bibliometric and Semantic Analysis. bioRxiv 2026.07.04.736459; doi: https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.07.04.736459
```